Wednesday, November 21, 2007

French Demography Driven by Muslims

To extrapolate from TFR's found in the Third-World to the TFR's of immigrant communities in France is an amateurish, albeit common mistake, as immigrants to France from several countries tend to have TFR's above those found in their countries of origin:


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_France

**** Average number******Average number
**** of children in**** of children in
**** France (1991-1998)**country of origin(1990-1999)

Portugal*****1.96**** 1.49
Tunisia******2.90**** 2.73
Turkey*******3.21**** 1.92


It is obvious in such cases that those immigrant communities are using the system to beget larger families than they would be able to afford back in the old country.

Those who think Muslim fertility will dwindle to native levels are assuming them to be overwhelmingly willing to adopt our culture, an assumption disproved by observation: second and third-generation immigrants often are even more religious than their parents, and a Muslim revival can be observed in all European countries including France. Another factor to be considered is education: in virtually every country on earth, highly educated women are far less fertile than women with little education. France being no exception to the rule, in spite of expensive family policies, non-indigenous women will remain more fertile than their indigenous counterparts until they achieve comparable educational levels, something they can only accomplish over a long period of time.

All this means that French Muslim fertility may continue declining, but will remain above indigenous fertility for long decades to come.

Diminishing Muslim fertility around the world will not prevent Muslims from eventually overtaking native Europeans in numbers: it will be many years before global Muslim fertility reaches sub-replacement level, and by the time it does our native populations will have long dwindled to a minority or near-minority due to the combined effect of higher Muslim fertility and strong immigration from Muslim countries. In 18 years, Middle-Easterners still won't be at sub-replacement level:


"The Arab countries, plus Turkey, Iran and Israel which make up a large group of states with a combined population of over 400 millions in 2000, were until very recently experiencing explosive demographic growth. (...) The projections for the region as a whole are that the Total Fertility Rate will fall from 3.00 in 2000 to 2.08 by 2025." http://cahier_youssef_courbage.site.ined.fr/en



18 years from now Middle-Eastern, and certainly black African, TFR will still far exceed indigenous French TFR (unless the latter rises from current levels, a prospect that no data we have suggests. Actually, a further decline of indigenous fertility may very well occur).

On a global level, Muslim fertility will be staying ahead of ours for as long as we can foresee:



Right now, foreign-born women account for 20 percent of French births, even though foreign-born immigrants are only about 8 percent (4.9 millions) of the total population, and that's not even taking into account the millions of second and third-generation immigrant women and black women from overseas territories born in France, for whom we have no statistics, but who are even more numerous than foreign-born immigrant women. So what percentage of children are born in France to non-European French mothers every year right now? Anywhere between 35-50%, so guess who's benefiting from France's generous family policies.


And last but not least, to think Muslims will need to constitute an absolute majority of the population to seize power in France is overly optimistic, given their demonstrated ability to wage protracted Intifada-type wars on the French state with a mere 10 percent share of the population.

Unless France reacts soon, it is a doomed country.

More on this here:


Fertility of France, the Manipulation Continues

Sunday, January 28th, 2007 in Europe, France, News, Politics, Propaganda, Society, War

The French merdias recently announced that according to the INSEE (National Institute for Statistics and Economic Studies) French women had a total fertility rate of 2. Since then, all the French establishment is congratulating itself for France’s great performance and celebrating the super fecund French woman.

However, beside the Front National, nobody realized that 2 is not enough to reach the replacement fertility rate, and moreover that the number announced by the INSEE and the merdias do not represent the fertility of French women, but the fertility of the women in France.

One have to research elsewhere than in the INSEE’s statistics to find out, for instance, that the most fertile department is Seine-Saint-Denis, and that in this department 40% of births are from foreign mothers.

The true demographic balance is that ethnic French population is being substituted.

As said Mohamed BEN BRAHIM BOUKHAROUBA, a former president of Algeria, in a U.N. speech in 1974: “One day, millions of men will leave the Southern Hemisphere to go to the Northern Hemisphere. And they will not go there as friends. Because they will go there to conquer it. And they will conquer it with their sons. The wombs of our women will give us victory.”
http://guillotine.wordpress.com/2007/01/28/fertility-of-france-the-manipulation-continue

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